Tatsat Chronicle Magazine

Ukrainian Refugees Influx to Ease Labour Shortages in EU: European Central Bank

Around seven million people, mostly women and children, have fled Ukraine so far since Russia launched its invasion on February 24.
June 21, 2022
Refugees from Ukraine in Kraków, Poland, in March 2022. Photo credit: Wikimedia

The influx of Ukrainian refugees into Europe could gradually ease labour shortages in the European Union (EU) countries, as many of these people are likely to settle permanently, said the European Central Bank (ECB) says a Reuters report. The ECB said the refugee crisis can lead to an increase of up to 13 lakh in the labour force in the Eurozone. Around 70 lakh Ukrainians have reportedly fled their country since Russia’s attack.

Around seven million people, mostly women and children, have fled Ukraine so far since Russia launched its invasion on February 24. More people are leaving each day, with many hoping to find long-lasting employment opportunities in the 27-nation EU.

“Under all of the assumptions detailed thus far, back-of-an-envelope calculations point to a median increase of between 0.2% and 0.8% in the euro area labour force in the medium term,” the ECB said in an Economic Bulletin article.

“This corresponds to an increase of between 0.3 and 1.3 million in the size of the euro area labour force as a result of the Ukrainian refugee crisis,” it added.

With unemployment at a record low, the euro zone has been struggling with increasing labour shortages and the influx of refugees could “slightly ease” labour market tightness, the ECB said. Still, getting people to work may prove difficult due to administrative barriers, the ECB added.

“Barriers to the labour market and other frictions remain significant impediments to refugees, making it difficult for them to integrate into host countries’ labour markets, especially in the short term,” it said.